Weather Alert in California
Hydrologic Outlook issued February 22 at 1:23PM PST by NWS Medford OR
AREAS AFFECTED: Siskiyou, CA; Coos, OR; Curry, OR; Douglas, OR; Jackson, OR; Josephine, OR
DESCRIPTION: ESFMFR A warm sourced atmospheric river, commonly referred to as a Pineapple Express, will likely bring periods of moderate to heavy rainfall Monday afternoon through Tuesday. Current rainfall forecasts show widespread amounts of 2 to 4 inches along the coast with locally up to 6 inches in the favored coast ranges of Curry County. Up to an inch of rain is expected for many of the inland West Side valleys, with 1 to 3 inches along the Cascades and mountains and south slopes of Siskiyou County, and between a quarter of an inch and an inch across the East Side. Compounding the hydrological concerns, the warm rain is expected with snow levels well above 7000 feet, which will result in snowmelt and therefore higher than expected runoff in area watersheds. Small streams and creeks are likely to rise rapidly during this event with nuisance flooding and ponding of water on roadways during periods of heavy rain. Significant rises on main stem rivers and flashier creeks are also expected. Given that rivers are still running fairly low for this time of year, river flooding potential is a bit lower than usual, but there is at least a low probability of some flooding, especially in the Coquille Basin, and along the more flashier streams such as Deer Creek in Roseburg and Little Butte Creek in Eagle Point. While the exact scenario for the heavy rainfall and potential flooding remains uncertain, we will continue to monitor the forecasts and update accordingly. Flood Watches may be issued by the National Weather Service if this situation worsens.
INSTRUCTION: N/A
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Weather Topic: What is Precipitation?
Home - Education - Precipitation - Precipitation
Next Topic: Rain
Precipitation can refer to many different forms of water that
may fall from clouds. Precipitation occurs after a cloud has become saturated to
the point where its water particles are more dense than the air below the cloud.
In most cases, precipitation will reach the ground, but it is not uncommon for
precipitation to evaporate before it reaches the earth's surface.
When precipitation evaporates before it contacts the ground it is called Virga.
Graupel, hail, sleet, rain, drizzle, and snow are forms of precipitation, but fog
and mist are not considered precipitation because the water vapor which
constitutes them isn't dense enough to fall to the ground.
Next Topic: Rain
Weather Topic: What are Shelf Clouds?
Home - Education - Cloud Types - Shelf Clouds
Next Topic: Sleet
A shelf cloud is similar to a wall cloud, but forms at the front
of a storm cloud, instead of at the rear, where wall clouds form.
A shelf cloud is caused by a series of events set into motion by the advancing
storm; first, cool air settles along the ground where precipitation has just fallen.
As the cool air is brought in, the warmer air is displaced, and rises above it,
because it is less dense. When the warmer air reaches the bottom of the storm cloud,
it begins to cool again, and the resulting condensation is a visible shelf cloud.
Next Topic: Sleet
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